Elon musk mars city by
2050.
From the mission to Mars,
to what it would be like to have it filled with people, join me as we talk
about the Elon Musk Mars City By 2050! Elon Musk is a man on a mission, and
that mission is to get humanity not just to Mars, but to get them to Mars in
this decade.
This is why he built his own space organization in SpaceX,
to do what NASA (at the time) couldn't do, inspire the need to be in space
again. And he has succeeded, and now, SpaceX is not only one of the leading
places in all space travel designs and plans, but they are indeed looking to be
the group to send a person to Mars.
But the plans go
beyond that, he doesn't just want to land a person on the surface of Mars and
say he's done (which is what we did with the moon if you really think about
it), but he wants to set up a colony there.
Surely you must be thinking,
"well a
colony would be nice, but that'll take some time to get up and running,
right?"
And you're absolutely right. It will take a lot of time and
effort, but some of the work is already being done because of SpaceX via their
Star ship. You see, the biggest problem with getting to Mars...is getting to
Mars.
We for the longest time barely had something that could get
us to the moon and back safely, and even then (like Apollo 13) it was very easy
to screw up. With SpaceX though, they've been working on faster, stronger, and
most importantly of all, reusable craft that can operate in space, come back to
Earth, and then be outfitted again for future missions.
And it's this Star ship
class of ship that we'd be taking to Mars to go and make a colony. Musk wrote
in a message that the eventual goal for his "Mars plan" is to launch each Star ship vehicle three times
per day on average. Each Star ship will be able to carry about100 tons of
payload to orbit, so, at that flight
rate, every vehicle would loft about100,000 tons annually,
He explained.
Now, Musk may sound like he's just spouting out a number
here (and if we're being honest...he kind of is) but in truth, he is trying to abide
by the laws of space and reality. What do we mean by that? Simple, when it
comes to the facts of space travel, having the right windows to travel in are
essential. Not the least of which is trying to minimize travel time by making
sure you are in the correct windows. Confused? I'll explain.
Think about the solar
system we are in, ok?
Think about how every
planet orbits around the sun. Now, if you were to look at Mercury, and its orbit,
and then compare it to Earth's orbit, you would see quite easily that its orbit
was shorter than Earths by a very good margins. 88 days compared to 365. So
now, compare the Earth's orbit around the sun to Mars. 365 days...to 867
days. Yeah...that's quite a leap.
And because of that,
the Earth and Mars aren't in the same alignment most times. Thus, Musk, NASA
and others are aiming to try and get people to Mars within certain windows.
"Building 100
Star ships/year gets to 1000in 10 years or 100 megatons/year or maybe around
100k people per Earth-Mars orbital sync,"
he said in a tweet.
So for him, he's thinking REALLY long term by not just
trying to get to Mars, but also trying to make it so WHEN we get there, and we
have enough time and resources to make a true colony, we have the ships
necessary to get a full colony made in a decent amount of time.
By "decent amount of time" I mean
about 50-100years. Yeah, this is not a quick process, however, the quicker we
get started, the quicker we get done, right? And that's one of Musk's biggest
goals. Trying to do things now instead of hoping something will develop later
to make things more speedy. Because waiting around just isn't good when you're
trying to shape the human race towards its future.
After hearing some of his numbers, he stated one fan asked
if he was seriously stating that we could have a million people on Mars by
2050. His response? "Yes." Obviously that would go against his
timeline we just spelled out in part because of how long it would take to MAKE
a colony that could house a million people and be both functional and
self-sustaining, but hey, goals! Before we talk about whether these goals are feasible
or not, be sure to like the video or dislike it so that we can work to make these
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subscribe to the channel, that way you don't miss ANY of our weekly videos! So
let's break this down, shall we? Could we really have a full-on colony city on
Mars by 2050 that has a million or so people on it? Technically...yes.
If EVERYTHING goes
right and we're able to shorten the time gap on certain things, as well as
catch a couple lucky breaks and all that. Obviously, the first hurdle is coming
into focus: getting to Mars. Obviously none of this matters if we don't get to
Mars.
The first mission is scheduled for the next few years if you
believe Elon Musk. And obviously if the mission goes well it'd be a huge
milestone for humankind, but that's just the beginning steps of it.
If not apparently
obvious, you can't send a large group of people to a planet we've never been to
before to start colonizing it. You have to send a very small group of people, a
handful at most. And that is indeed the plan. The goal is to have them on Mars
by 2025 or maybe 2026 if there are delays in flight plans and such (which is
probable given recent setbacks in the SpaceX program).
Anyway, once the
people are on Mars, they'll go to work setting up their base camp (via supplies
and drop offs made by an unmanned mission the year before) and then start doing
all sorts of tests on the Martian surface.
The intent, barring something unforeseen, is for them to
remain on Mars for about 9 months, and when that time is up, they return to
Earth for study and examination. Why?
Because since we've never been to Mars in the physical sense
(not including probes, rovers, etc.) we have no true idea if the people living
there will be affected by various forces that people like NASA or Elon Musk couldn't
have predicted.
Hence why you send a small group of people to the surface of
Mars and not a full colony right off. They'll be studied, monitored for a
while, and then should everything go right, SpaceX and NASA would be given
permission to start the colony preparations and the next steps in the mission.
But this is where things get a bit tricky in and of themselves. Because let's
look at this colonization in the large scale, shall we?
At this point in
time, let's be generous and say 2027 (the time where the astronauts likely will
be back on Earth after their Mars mission),the only real things on Mars is a
base for the original team, and possibly some other items depending on what
Musk sent via the cargo ships. That's a LONG way from having a fully house colony,
not to mention that to get to a population size of 1 million people...you'd
need to make sure you can house, feed, and keep safe 1 million people. That's
not as easy as people like to think it is.
That's not to say
it's impossible, we obviously know that it's not based just on Earth and how
we've adapted to protect ourselves from various things, but to do it on Mars
will be even harder. So what will it take to get to 1 million people on Mars by
2050? A lot of star ships, a lot of people, and a lot of quick building.
Let's start with the
basics, shall we? For the second Mars mission (aka the one after the first
group comes back and proves that there's nothing overtly harmful about living on
Mars outside of basic risks), more than likely a larger group will be sent to
the planet to not just live there (possibly for a much longer term depending on
the mission parameters ) but to lay the groundwork for the colony at large.
The first group that will be sent to Mars will very much be a
science team and possibly an engineer or two to work on setting up power generators
and maybe even solar panels. But for the most part, it'll be about studying Mars
to setup the possibility of true colonization.
For round two, there will be a lot more people focused on
the actual building of the colony, which is both very good and very
problematic. After all...what are you going to build the colony out of? And
just as important...where are you going to get the materials to build said
colony? Exactly.
Now, both of these questions have many answers, but which
ones will lend itself to the goal of the 2050 timetable for the colony? A few,
very few in fact. Never forget that the reason we can do massive and breath taking
buildings here on Earth is because resources are only a few hours or maybe even
days away should we need them and plan ahead to get them.
For Mars, they don't have that option, or at least, not at
first. Unlike Earth, we don't know what's exactly in the Martian soil. We have
tests that show there are various minerals and rare-Earth metals we can use,
but getting to them, refining them and making them useful for colony growth is
a long process. So for the vast majority of time, we'll be relying on shipments
from Earth to send us the materials that we need to build the Martin colony.
That's a very costly and time-consuming end eavor, and can
totally through off the timetable should even a single shipment go wrong. And
knowing how space travel and construction works...something will go wrong
eventually. However, there is another option.
One that is a little
more creative and uses the resources at hand. There is a plan in place that
could have various rovers (which would be shipped in via the Star ship cargo
vessels that can carry a great deal of them at once) using 3D printing to
help setup various homes for people using the natural soil and ground of Mars.
How this will work exactly is a little abstract, but the idea of 3D printing
things could work...in theory.
And if we're being honest, building the housing is just ONE
of the main problems that the Mars colony has to deal with. Another major
hurdle is food and water. We know there's water on Mars, that's been proven,
and the SpaceX mission is even going to go to a place where water is so that it
can be extracted much easier than having to go and search for a good water spot
or hoping that there is water around.
However, when it
comes to food? We'll have to bring our own, and either get continuous shipments
from Earth (which again is costly, time-consuming, and problematic ) or pull a
Matt Damon (from his movie The Martian) and find a way to grow our own food.
Which would be awesome...but problematic in its own right.
And while we could eventually create massive greenhouses to
make our own crops on Mars, that process will take time to now just grow, but
test to make sure they're safe for consumption, but it'll also take time to
make it possible for it to feed 1 million people by 2050. Ask any farmer you
know and expansion of crops and growth of plants isn't the easiest thing in the
world.
But let's be fair here. Let's say, just for sake of
argument, that we're able to get to Mars, have many successful missions, start
setting up a home there, and get it to where we can have reliable power (more
than likely via solar panels), consistent food and water, and more...
there's one final problem for Elon Musk to deal with.
Mainly...can he really get 1 million people to go to Mars?
I ask this honestly
because it's a question that isn't really brought up all too often. Yes, many
of us "dream" of being a multi-planet ary race...but dreaming that
and doing that for real is two very different things. The colonization of Mars
has to be a voluntary thing for all sorts of reasons. And while Elon Musk has
noted that
“There will be a lot of jobs on Mars!”, that doesn't exactly
answer what life will be like on Mars. Not in the "how will we
survive?" kind of way, but rather the, "what will do every day?"
kind of way. Think about it.
We'll likely have
power, sure, but for the first many years it's doubtful we'd have things like
TV, internet, access to libraries and more. It'd be a lot like the early colony
days of the United States. Lots of work and restrictions on where you can go
and pass the time. Sure, by 2050 that could be remedied in part or in whole
depending on technology, but to be a fully stocked, fully occupied, and
fully operational city in all the forms that people want?
That's a bit of a reach, even for Elon Musk. Never forget
that humanity loves being comfortable, we like to know what's a waiting for us
at work, at home, with our families and more. While some people will happily
jump at the chance to be on Mars, not everyone will. And to say that hundreds
of thousands of people will happily jump onto Elon's ships to go and populate
Mars every year or so? That might not be in the cards...
What did you think of this look at the goal of Elon Musk to populate
a colony on Mars with a million people by 2050? Do you think that it'll happen?
Would you want to live on Mars in its first colony?

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