Astrobiology: The search for Extraterrestrial life.
Introduction.
It’s Professor Dave, let’s find some aliens. Throughout this
series we’ve achieved apretty good sense of the size of the universe. Whereas
the ancients thought it was just the solar system and a sphere of bright lights
rotating around us, we eventually understood the true scope of the Milky Way
galaxy, with its several hundred billion stars, many of which probably have one
or more planets just like ours does.
About universe.
Then about a century ago, we realized that our galaxy
was just one of many billions of other galaxies, and our universe grew to an unfathomable
size.
Place where life developed.
We know of one place for sure that intelligent life
developed, that’s here on earth. But
Is there life anywhere else?
No matter how unlikely you think abiogenesis is, which is
life being generated spontaneously from non-living matter, even if you think it’s
a one in a billion shot, there are billions of worlds in our galaxy alone, and when
you combine infinitesimal odds with impossibly large numbers, you get near
certain probabilities for even the unlikeliest of things. In a nearly endless
universe, there are nearly endless worlds, and it would be hard to believe that
we are really the only ones. How many intelligent civilizations are out there.
Some questions about
aliens.
1-
Trying to understand the cosmos just as we
are?
2-
Where are they?
3-
What do they look like?
4-
What are their problems?
5-
What do they want?
6-
What do they fear?
7-
Do they have art?
8-
Will we ever meet?
I can’t
imagine what could possibly be more fascinating than these questions, and there
are a lot of scientists who agree with me, which is why they decided to study astrobiology.
Astrobiology.
This is the study of life in the universe, where it might exist and in
what conditions, as well as how we might be able to detect it. Essentially, the
search for aliens.
Let’s
talk a little bit about what astrobiologists have come up with.
And some of the best candidates we know of for worlds that
may already harbour complex life forms. First of all,
What
are the conditions necessary for life to exist?
If we think
about life on earth, we know that liquid water was absolutely critical. This
was the medium within which the first organic molecules underwent endless
chemical reactions until stumbling upon a self-replicating structure by chance.
No solvent, no chemistry, no life. So it seems that liquid water is a must. And
in order for liquid water to exist on a planet, the planet must be within the
so-called habitable zone around its star. That is the range of distances from
the star within which any ambient surface temperature ought to be between the
melting point and boiling point of water, which allows for liquid water to
exist on the surface of the planet.
But
even in outlining these two simple criteria, if we think critically, we might
realize that we are already getting overly presumptuous. Must a world truly be
within the habitable zone of its star for liquid water to exist?
Europa
and Enceladus
We already know for
sure that this is not the case. Remember when we talked about the Jovian and Saturnian
systems, we saw that many of the moons of Jupiter and Saturn orbit their planet
closely enough that the considerable tidal forces distort them such that there
is a lot of friction inside these moons. That generates a lot of heat, enough
heat to melt ice and get liquid water. We know with reasonable certainty that a
number of these worlds contain oceans of liquid water, most notably Europa and
Enceladus, and so it seems that solar radiation is not the only way to get an
ocean.
Furthermore,
Who
is to say that a liquid medium for life has to be water? Water works very well
because it’s amphoteric. It can act as an acid or a base, participating in a
variety of acid-base reactions that are biochemically relevant, allowing for
biosynthesis.
Would something like ammonia work
just as well?
Ammonia could
hypothetically perform the same function as water, it would just result in a
kind of life that is stable at a dramatically different pH range. But we
certainly can’t say that it is impossible.
1- To get even a little more abstract,
does life even need a liquid medium at all?
2- Could life arise in clouds of
interstellar dust that are rich in organic material?
It seems difficult to
imagine how it would work, but we can’t rule it out with certainty. Once we
realize that life could potentially arise in a variety of different conditions,
we begin to understand that life might be utterly commonplace.
Given
our knowledge of the history of Mars, it is not outrageous to believe that
simple unicellular life may have existed there in the distant past, and may
continue to exist beneath its surface. Mars is literally our next door neighbor,
and we also identified multiple moons in the outer solar system that seem ideal
for life. With so many possibilities just in our tiny little nook of the
galaxy, it seems that the Milky Way must be teeming with life. Now as to how
often simple forms of life evolve to the intelligence of human civilization or
greater is another story altogether. It might be the case that only one in a
billion times does a world with basic forms of life produce a civilization
capable of creating the technology needed to understand and explore the
universe.
1-
So how many such civilizations exist in
our galaxy?
2-
Five?
3-
Five thousand?
4-
Or maybe we are truly alone?
5-
What are the odds?
It may seem absurd to try to calculate the odds of such
things, but that is precisely what astronomer Frank Drake tried to do in1961,
with his Drake equation. It outlines a way to calculate N, the number of
active, intelligent civilizations in the Milky Way, available for
communication.
So what are these variables?
First we have the
average rate of star formation. It’s difficult to conceive of life without a
parent star, so that’s an important variable.
Next is the fraction of stars that have planets. Then,
of those stars with planets, the fraction of them that can potentially support
life. Of those, the fraction that actually develop life.
Of those, the fraction that develop intelligent life.
Of those, the fraction that develop sophisticated technology with which to
potentially communicate with us, and are perhaps actively sending signals through
the galaxy. And finally, the length of time that such civilizations send such
signals, which can be interpreted as the lifetime of the civilization.
This equation is obviously overflowing with speculation,
as these variables are difficult to estimate without huge amounts of
uncertainty. Therefore, it was not meant to be used to arrive at a rigorous
value, but rather to provoke thought and discussion regarding the potential for
alien life. It highlights key variables that are involved in such a search, and
begs for their contemplation. And if we plug in a variety of estimates for these
variables, the equation frequently yields results that tell us that it is
rather unlikely that we are the only intelligent civilization in the galaxy,
let alone the universe. There are those who are a little more pessimistic. Our
star is a population one star, so there have been older stars capable of
sustaining life for billions of years. If intelligent civilizations have
existed for many millions of years longer than we have, it is likely they would
have begun to colonize other worlds, a process that would move at an
exponential rate, and it would seem like even one hyperintelligent race would
quickly inhabit the entire galaxy. So in short,
where is everybody?
The fact that we
can’t see or hear anyone is the essence of the Fermi paradox, which suggests we
might be alone.
Does the fact that we
can’t see or hear anyone mean that no one is there?
Not necessarily.
Perhaps they are there, but rather than colonizing the galaxy, they have
decided to retreat into their own technology, existing solely in virtual worlds
and therefore no longer making any cosmic noise. Perhaps they are indeed
everywhere but are leaving us alone, watching from afar to see if we become a
civilization that is worthy of their attention.
Or
maybe, just maybe, we really are the only folks in town. In the meantime,
amidst all the speculation, an actual search is in progress. This search is
multi-faceted, largely focused on searching for radio signals. This effort is
called SETI, the search for extra-terrestrial intelligence. We’ve been
listening since the 60s to see if aliens are trying to say hello, but there is
just so much sky to listen to, and we can only listen in one spot at a time.
Beyond this, there is the search for exoplanets.
These
are planets outside of our solar system.
Orbiting
other stars in our galaxy. These had been postulated for quite some time, but
we had not actually detected one scientifically until 1988. Fast forward a few
decades, and we have detected nearly four thousand exoplanets distributed
amongst nearly three thousand systems.
How
is that we find these things?
Well, we detect them in a number of ways, by measuring the
difference in brightness of the star when a planet passes in front of it, by
the wobble induced on the star as the star and its planets orbit around their collective
center of mass, or other methods still.
What
does this data tell us?
First, we see that
about one in every five stars like our sun has an earth-sized planet in its
habitable zone. Think for a moment about how many billions of planets similar
to ours that must exist just in the Milky Way.
1-
Is there life on these planets?
2-
Could we one day colonize them
ourselves?
Incredibly, there is an
exoplanet orbiting Proxima Centauri, which is the single closest star to ours,
at just over four light years away. The possibilities for the next hundred
thousand years of human effort are beginning to unfold. What will we do as our
civilization grows, as we become capable of interplanetary, interstellar, or
even intergalactic travel? To examine this, let’s move forward and talk about
our future in space.

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